IMF forecasts 10% contraction in 2020

Assuming new issuances of EUR4bn, a pick-up in outstanding T-bills raising the stock back to EUR12.5bn and a Covid-19 fiscal cost of EUR12bn, the state coffers could end 2020 with approximately EUR30bn, providing ample resources for weathering the crisis.

IMF officials are currently in Greece, holding meetings with Theoni Alampasi, head of the Special Secretariat for Private Debt Management at the Ministry of Finance

A prolonged recession in Greece will surge defaults and bad loans. A negative impact is also expected on the secondary NPL market. European Commission and the IMF forecast a 10% contraction this year.
Greek banks still carry most of NPLs in their balance sheet.